The 500 Year Delta: What Happens After What Comes Next by Jim Taylor, Watts Wacker

By Jim Taylor, Watts Wacker

Within the culture of Alvin Toffler's destiny surprise and John Naisbitt's Megatrends, The 500-Year Delta deals a charming glimpse of what companies and contributors should still anticipate because the five-hundred-year-old "Age of cause" segues into the "Age of Possibility." in keeping with visionary futurists Jim Taylor and Watts Wacker, we stand at now not one yet a number of crossroads-marked issues of discontinuity among earlier and current. those contain: The shift from reason-based to chaos-based good judgment The splintering of social, political, and monetary association The cave in of producer-controlled shopper markets For an international stuck during this swirling intersection of swap, Jim Taylor and Watts Wacker supply verified ideas to aid businesses and participants reset their path towards an unpredictable destiny, delivering new versions to house the expanding chaos of daily life. Describing our current element of transformation as a "triple witching hour," the authors chart a destiny path that's right away bracing, forbidding, joyous, and eventually redemptive.

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Assumptions disappear. You cannot act on the predicted fulfillment of some causal chain. The path coefficients that would fulfill that prediction are subject to too many random variations and mutations. You cannot act because the last time you made such a choice, it produced such a consequence. Just as cause has come unhinged from effect, experience has come unhinged from outcome. If you are going to succeed in chaos, you must connect with chaos. You must act in concert with chaos. What does that mean?

Suddenly, firms that had existed essentially as guilds for hundreds of years found themselves destabilized. War broke out between younger and older members of the firm; collegiality vanished as partners battled over whether to bring rainmakers in and what percentage of the profits to pay them. And as destabilization heightened, the value of the most critical human variables — the rainmakers, the narrowly but highly skilled seniors and managers — heightened proportionally. In the corporate world, the historic success paradigm was much the same.

All those riding clubs lack is warpaint to complete the effect. Decorative house flags — tulip flags for the spring, corn flags for summer, turkey flags for the Thanksgiving season, and so on around the calendar — are more than ornamentation. They, too, are a form of communalism, icons of tribalism, a way of announcing a set of tastes, an invitation to fraternity. Herd crimes — crimes that define someone The 500-Year Delta 28 as a member of the group — are a form of tribalism, too, whether it is pot smoking for the countercultural tribe, petty shoplifting for the early-teenage-girl tribe, or expense-account padding for the juniorexecutive tribe.

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