By Helga Drummond
Technological know-how reassures, paintings disturbs (Proverb)
This fascinating exploration of underlying forces in determination making takes as its start line a wealth of excessive profile selection mess ups. In brilliantly readable analyses, Helga Drummond indicates how larger expertise of the inherent uncertainties of the choice making method can have made the results very various.
Examples showcased comprise:
The Hatfield rail crash The Kursk submarine catastrophe The Challenger catastrophe The 12 months 2000 gasoline situation The WWII Dardanelles excursion The Barings financial institution cave in The Taurus inventory alternate undertaking The Hillsborough tragedy The King's go underground fireplace The Millennium Dome
This exciting but instructive ebook bargains new perception into the realities of determination making, and indicates how one can confront them to enhance your customers of luck.
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Additional info for The Art of Decision Making
Moreover, he always knew that upon attaining promotion he would have to surrender the cocked hat. Nor has Mrs Corney misled him about the value of her possessions. Bumble gets exactly what he expects, that is, six teaspoons, a pair of sugar tongs, and a milk pot; with a small quantity of second-hand furniture and twenty pound in money. So why is he unhappy? ’ In fact, for Bumble worse was to come. Degraded and humiliated in front of the paupers by his shrewish wife, he is eventually dismissed from his post after being held responsible for her dishonest behaviour.
When Christine telephoned again ten minutes later the partner had returned and was seeing the client. ’ Yet Christine felt uneasy: I thought the Law Society could get involved and say there was something seriously amiss with the ofﬁce . . I would lose my reputation that I had worked hard to build up . . I would lose my client base. It did cross my mind that they could have been taking money out [stealing from the practice]. The ﬁrm had been in existence for six weeks when Christine received a telephone call from the senior partner of a large City law ﬁrm.
On 2 December 1984 there was an explosion at a chemical plant at Bhopal in India. The ﬁnal death toll has never been established but is estimated to have been anywhere between 1800 and 10 0000 people plus 200 000–300 000 injured, to say nothing of the effects on animals and the environment. The immediate cause of the accident was a leak of a highly toxic gas. 18 More speciﬁcally, supervisors at the plant believed that 90% of the variances observed in the gauges were caused by ﬂuctuations in the electricity supply.