The Three Secrets of Wise Decision Making by Barry F. Anderson, Winky Wheeler

By Barry F. Anderson, Winky Wheeler

Publication through Anderson, Barry F.

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Not one followed through on my suggestions. All, apparently, were simply looking for facts to support beliefs they'd already become committed to—and, apparently, weren't very confident in! A delightfully transparent example is that of a child who believed that he had a magic ring that would grant any wish when he rubbed it. He never tried it, however, because, if it didn’t work, he knew he could no longer believe that he had a magic ring! Irrational beliefs are about “magic rings”—beliefs we want to keep, whether correct or not.

Something like a pocket knife, with the blade on the compass and the receiving part on the centerboard trunk could work. He then thought of inverting this arrangement, with the centerboard trunk as the “blade” and something on the compass to receive it. This line of thought led to a very satisfactory solution: mount the compass on a four-inch length of one-and-one-half inch rubber hose by means of two stainless steel bolts, then slit the bottom of the hose lengthwise, so that it would snap over the centerboard trunk.

The belief that the world would end at midnight was testable, but their belief system was not! 25 The Three Secrets of Wise Decision Making Some warning signs of insufficient courage to be rational are: (a) shifting responsibility, (b) procrastinating, (c) seeking social support for beliefs, (d) avoiding falsifiability, (e) actively seeking ideas that strengthen your position or avoiding those that weaken it, (f) reacting with excessive emotionality when challenged. A good way to test for the courage to be rational when you're making a decision is to ask yourself the following question: Would I be willing to commit to and actually follow through on whichever of the alternatives the analysis indicates is the best?

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